Parramatta, Mascot and Rouse Hill within the northwest have topped a listing of Sydney suburbs “oversupplied” with residences.
These suburbs every have greater than 1500 items within the pipeline over the following two years, which can enhance the present provide of residences by 13 per cent or extra.
An identical scenario was unfolding in Gosford on the Central Coast, the place near 1900 items have been set to be constructed, which might enhance unit provide by 73 per cent.
The oversupply in these areas has raised the chance of harmful worth reductions for patrons of items bought off the plan, in line with RiskWise analysis.
RiskWise chief govt Doron Peleg stated there was already a excessive diploma of danger related to off the plan items however they’ve been exacerbated throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.
One of many greatest dangers is that the glut of latest house initiatives in some areas shall be coinciding with lowered purchaser demand – significantly from traders, he stated.
Investor exercise was already low earlier than the pandemic due to tighter lending restrictions however falling rents and rising vacancies have created an extra disincentive for brand spanking new traders to buy items.
Unit rents dropped by about 2 per cent in Sydney and Melbourne over the previous three months, CoreLogic knowledge confirmed.
Excessive-profile studies of cladding points and defects additionally broken the status of the off the plan sector, encouraging extra traders to hunt out house-and-land packages as an alternative, Mr Peleg added.
Buyers who have been nonetheless shopping for rental residences unsuitable for households have been taking an infinite gamble, with each fairness and money circulate danger anticipated to materially enhance, he stated.
Purchaser advocacy group Patrons Patrons’ co-founder Pete Wargent stated shopping for into oversupplied areas amid worldwide border closures would compound these dangers.
He defined this was as a result of worldwide college students and vacationers fashioned a big proportion of the standard tenant base in lots of of those places.
Patrons have been higher off contemplating extra supply-constrained markets the place properties provided “shortage worth”, Mr Wargent stated.
“Over the medium to long term, it’s the land worth part of the asset that does the heavy lifting for you and, due to this fact, patrons ought to search for a excessive land-to-asset ratio,” he stated.
“The unit oversupply problem has been with us for some years now and outperformance has primarily been in household acceptable dwelling varieties in markets the place demand is constant and new provide has been restricted.”
Purchaser’s agent and CEO of propertybuyer.com.au Wealthy Harvey stated shopping for new residences in outer suburban areas like Rouse Hill made no sense.
“Whereas it could be good to have a shiny new kitchen and toilet, there’s a important draw back worth danger as the availability of land for additional improvement is plentiful,” Mr Harvey stated.
“In a market the place costs are declining, there’s a settlement danger for the client in the event that they uncover that the worth paid for the unit has declined considerably.”
For instance, Mr Harvey stated somebody who purchased a unit for $650,000 however found it was solely price $585,000 when it got here time to settle the property must stump up the distinction – on this occasion: $65,000.
“This might be a major problem for some cash-strapped patrons,” he stated.